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Group of pacific sardines

Photo Credit: Aquarium of the Pacific | Ken Kurtis

Pacific sardines

Photo Credit: Aquarium of the Pacific | Ken Kurtis

This animal can be found at the Aquarium of the Pacific

Primary ThreatsPrimary Threats Conditions

Threats and Conservation Status

The original decline in the Pacific sardine population was due to overharvest and unfavorable oceanic conditions. Currently, there is a moratorium on commercial fishing for sardines off the coast of California, Oregon and Washington. However, sardines can be harvested for bait or as part of incidental catch in other fisheries. As can be seen from the population estimates from 2005 onward, the population has been steadily declining by more than 20%. In particular, the annual decline of 17.4% explains 78% of the year-to-year variation in sardine estimated abundance. These data are for the northern Pacific subpopulation of sardines, which extend beyond California up to Vancouver Island, Canada.

The complexity and boom and bust nature of sardine population dynamics makes it difficult to predict population trends accurately and to manage the species effectively under changing ocean conditions. The intent of the current moratorium on Pacific sardine harvest is to allow the fishery to rebuild and restore the stock by 2035. However, the string of almost ten straight years of decline evident in the graphs we show suggests recovery is not yet happening.

Population Plots

Data Source: Data obtained from NOAA: PT Kuriyama 2024 — 2024. Assessment of the Pacific sardine resource (Sardinops sagax) in 2024 for U.S. management in 2024-2025. U.S. Department of Commerce, NOAA Technical.

References